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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1018
Throwdowns: January
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$35.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $6.95 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.25
Grail premium $5.70 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
97
of 2,932 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.3%unopened
Rare151 / 4,397 (3.4%)
156 per 100 sealed packs · launch 150 · ≈ launch rate
Common334 / 10,263 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 151 / 4,397 | 31% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 334 / 10,263 | 69% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Cole Anthony
Dunk · Nov 30, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.71%Wt 0.037
Max Strus
Dunk · Nov 18, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.043
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 2, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.27
Mint 699
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Christian Braun
Dunk · Dec 15, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.11
Mint 699
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Nov 22, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.27
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.016
Jalen Green
Dunk · Nov 23, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.25
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.89%Wt 0.029
Cameron Johnson
Dunk · Dec 1, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.11
Mint 699
Hit 3.71%Wt 0.037
Jaden Hardy
Dunk · Nov 6, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Kristaps Porziņģis
Dunk · Nov 23, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Larry Nance Jr.
Dunk · Dec 29, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.025
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 1, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.30
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,023
Hit 5.36%Wt 0.054
Craig Porter Jr.
Assist · Oct 28, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Noah Clowney
Dunk · Dec 28, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.95
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Kris Murray
Dunk · Nov 16, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.025
Taylor Hendricks
Layup · Dec 3, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.66
Recent Low
$0.60
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.24%Wt 0.012
Dariq Whitehead
Block · Nov 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.24%Wt 0.012
Day'Ron Sharpe
Dunk · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Jan 2, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 7.63%Wt 0.076
RJ Barrett
Layup · Jan 2, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,023
Hit 7.01%Wt 0.07
Ochai Agbaji
Dunk · Dec 19, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031
Bobby Portis
Steal · Dec 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.025
Jaylin Williams
Block · Dec 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.052
Klay Thompson
3 Pointer · Dec 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Patrick Beverley
Layup · Nov 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.71%Wt 0.037