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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1023

Throwdowns: Quick Rip January Trade Ticket

Common4 slots

Buy on Top Shot Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

227

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

908

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 43% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Max Strus · Throwdowns	RARE	4.88%	$5.59	43.3%
OG Anunoby · Fresh Threads	COMMON	7.32%	$2.07	24.0%
Patrick Beverley · Base Set	COMMON	14.63%	$0.22	5.1%
Anfernee Simons · Base Set	COMMON	12.20%	$0.22	4.3%
Taurean Prince · Base Set	COMMON	9.76%	$0.22	3.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 8mo agoRetail $7.00219 sales

Pack price

$7.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $2.47 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

Typical Pull

$0.88

Grail premium $1.59 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

FMV coverage

100%

14 editions

Depletion

98%

pool · as of 67d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,000 minted · as of 67d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 67d ago

2.0%unopened

20 / 1,000 packs

Rare2 / 100 (2.0%)

Common78 / 3,900 (2.0%)

Pull odds by tier

4 slots/pack · as of 67d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	2 / 100	2.5%	~1 in 10
Common	78 / 3,900	98%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 14 of 14 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 14

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Max Strus	Throwdowns	RARE	4.88%	$5.59	$1.09
OG Anunoby	Fresh Threads	COMMON	7.32%	$2.07	$0.61
Patrick Beverley	Base Set	COMMON	14.63%	$0.22	$0.13
Anfernee Simons	Base Set	COMMON	12.20%	$0.22	$0.11
Taurean Prince	Base Set	COMMON	9.76%	$0.22	$0.09
Cole Anthony	Base Set	COMMON	9.76%	$0.21	$0.08
Immanuel Quickley	Fresh Threads	COMMON	7.32%	$0.27	$0.08
Daniel Theis	Base Set	COMMON	9.76%	$0.20	$0.08
Bogdan Bogdanović	Base Set	COMMON	7.32%	$0.20	$0.06
Kris Murray	Rookie Debut	COMMON	2.44%	$0.50	$0.05

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/21/2026, 3:13:00 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.