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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1153
Holo Icon: February
Legendary6 slots
Pack price
$699
Actual EV
—
≈ $518 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $350
Typical Pull
$90.00
Grail premium $428 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $350
FMV coverage
100%
28 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
25
of 636 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago3.9%unopened
Legendary25 / 636 (3.9%)
Rare25 / 636 (3.9%)
Common100 / 2,544 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 25 / 636 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 25 / 636 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 100 / 2,544 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 28 of 28 (100%)Jalen Brunson
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$585
Floor
$650
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Nikola Jokić
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$500
Floor
$555
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Scottie Barnes
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$200
Floor
$222
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Lauri Markkanen
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$194
Floor
$216
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Trae Young
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$178
Floor
$57.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Paolo Banchero
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$176
Floor
$195
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Dejounte Murray
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$169
Floor
$53.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Coby White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$123
Floor
$65.00
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Jalen Williams
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$119
Floor
$100
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Derrick White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$81.50
Floor
$63.00
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Damian Lillard
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$76.50
Floor
$85.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Rudy Gobert
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$63.75
Floor
$75.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Julius Randle
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$60.80
Floor
$33.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$58.00
Floor
$43.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Jaylen Brown
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$15.00
Floor
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jalen Brunson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$14.40
Floor
$16.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Kawhi Leonard
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$11.08
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$10.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Collin Sexton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Franz Wagner
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$8.99
Floor
$9.99
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$8.14
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Vince Williams Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jaden Ivey
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.2