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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1153
Holo Icon: February
Legendary6 slots
Pack price
$699
Actual EV
—
≈ $420 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $350
Typical Pull
$96.00
Grail premium $324 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $350
FMV coverage
100%
28 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
25
of 636 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago3.9%unopened
Legendary25 / 636 (3.9%)
Rare25 / 636 (3.9%)
Common100 / 2,544 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 25 / 636 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 25 / 636 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 100 / 2,544 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 28 of 28 (100%)Jalen Brunson
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$585
Floor
$388
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Nikola Jokić
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$200
Floor
$235
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Scottie Barnes
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$180
Floor
$200
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Lauri Markkanen
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$171
Floor
$216
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Derrick White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$125
Floor
$45.00
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Jalen Williams
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$121
Floor
$80.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Paolo Banchero
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$113
Floor
$125
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Trae Young
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$106
Floor
$118
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Coby White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 50
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Damian Lillard
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$76.50
Floor
$85.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Dejounte Murray
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$74.70
Floor
$83.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Rudy Gobert
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$64.00
Floor
$69.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$51.00
Floor
$39.00
Mint 50
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Julius Randle
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$46.33
Floor
$36.00
Mint 50
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jaylen Brown
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$16.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jalen Brunson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$15.32
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Collin Sexton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$15.16
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Vince Williams Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.04
Franz Wagner
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$9.28
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$6.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.12
Kawhi Leonard
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jabari Smith Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$5.75
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.08
Jaden Ivey
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$3.83
Floor
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.2