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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1178
Atlanta Hawks Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$1.02
Net −$1.97 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.99
Typical Pull
$0.64
Grail premium $0.38 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.34x
-65.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.99
FMV coverage
100%
22 editions
Depletion
86%
live pool
Packs remaining
238
of 1,750 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago14%unopened
Rare16 / 130 (12%)
Common460 / 3,370 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 16 / 130 | 3.4% | ~1 in 15 |
| Common | 460 / 3,370 | 97% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 22 of 22 (100%)De'Andre Hunter
Rising Stars
RARE2
FMV
$3.87
Floor
$3.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
Atlanta Hawks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.063
Kevin Willis
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.50
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
AJ Griffin
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
Paul Millsap
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.52
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.05
De'Andre Hunter
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.008
Doc Rivers
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.39
Mint 5,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.013
Kyle Korver
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.28
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.67%Wt 0.109
Dejounte Murray
Hustle and Show
COMMON6
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.013
Onyeka Okongwu
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.18
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.021
Dejounte Murray
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.67%Wt 0.109
Paul Millsap
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
Clint Capela
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.21
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.004
Bogdan Bogdanović
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 29.33%Wt 0.37
Saddiq Bey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.029
Trae Young
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,750
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.025
Lou Williams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.029
Clint Capela
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.33%Wt 0.118
Saddiq Bey
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.101
De'Andre Hunter
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.055
Trae Young
Hustle and Show
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.10
Mint 18,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.038
Onyeka Okongwu
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.00%Wt 0.088