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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1178
Atlanta Hawks Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.97
Actual EV
$0.63
Net −$2.34 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.97 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.23 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.21x
-78.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.97 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
86%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
238
of 1,750 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago14%unopened
Rare16 / 130 (12%)
6.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.4 · ≈ launch rate
Common460 / 3,370 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 16 / 130 | 3.4% | ~1 in 15 |
| Common | 460 / 3,370 | 97% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
De'Andre Hunter
Layup · Jan 27, 2021
Rising Stars
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Atlanta Hawks
Dunk · Dec 31, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 3.15%Wt 0.032
Doc Rivers
Dunk · May 8, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Bogdan Bogdanović
3 Pointer · Dec 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 500
Hit 14.92%Wt 0.149
Bogdan Bogdanović
3 Pointer · Dec 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.036
Saddiq Bey
Dunk · Mar 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Onyeka Okongwu
Block · Nov 23, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.41%Wt 0.044
Paul Millsap
Dunk · Jan 15, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025
Trae Young
Assist · Nov 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.98%Wt 0.08
De'Andre Hunter
Jump Shot · Nov 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Clint Capela
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.88%Wt 0.059
Kyle Korver
3 Pointer · Jan 8, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.46%Wt 0.055
Saddiq Bey
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.04%Wt 0.05
Trae Young
3 Pointer · Feb 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.048
Trae Young
Assist · Mar 18, 2021
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 18,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.019
Clint Capela
Dunk · Mar 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Trae Young
Layup · Apr 22, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,750
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Trae Young
Assist · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 7.56%Wt 0.076
Trae Young
3 Pointer · Jan 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 35,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.021
Bogdan Bogdanović
Layup · Jan 3, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Lou Williams
Dunk · Jan 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 9,999
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Clint Capela
Block · Nov 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.31%Wt 0.023
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Nov 2, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.46%Wt 0.055
Bogdan Bogdanović
Jump Shot · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.10
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027