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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1180
Oklahoma City Thunder Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.68
Grail premium $0.18 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
126
of 3,249 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago3.9%unopened
Rare4 / 123 (3.3%)
Common248 / 6,375 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 123 | 1.6% | ~1 in 32 |
| Common | 248 / 6,375 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Oklahoma City Thunder Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.032
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.38
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.016
Aaron Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.90
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.016
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.056
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.024
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,500
Hit 16.67%Wt 0.333
Kendrick Perkins
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.13%Wt 0.183
Jerami Grant
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.73%Wt 0.175
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.52%Wt 0.19
Aaron Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 3.17%Wt 0.063
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.095
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.17%Wt 0.063
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.016
Isaiah Joe
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.54%Wt 0.151
Jalen Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 10.71%Wt 0.214
Jaylin Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.32%Wt 0.206
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.22
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.048
Isaiah Joe
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.98%Wt 0.04
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.30
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.048
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.59%Wt 0.032