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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1184
San Antonio Spurs Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.64
Grail premium $0.29 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
153
of 3,278 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago4.7%unopened
Rare5 / 132 (3.8%)
Common305 / 6,424 (4.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 132 | 1.6% | ~1 in 31 |
| Common | 305 / 6,424 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)San Antonio Spurs Mid-Range
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.033
Tre Jones
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$2.82
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Malaki Branham
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.38
Floor
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.23
Floor
$1.00
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Tim Duncan
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.55
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.69
Mint 15,500
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Manu Ginóbili
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.02
Zach Collins
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.42
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.06%Wt 0.163
Danny Green
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 20.32%Wt 0.412
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.16%Wt 0.105
Boris Diaw
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 18.71%Wt 0.379
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.039
Robert Horry
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.013
Keldon Johnson
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.30
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Tre Jones
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 15,500
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Cedi Osman
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.74%Wt 0.157
Michael Finley
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.21
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.007
Doug McDermott
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.48%Wt 0.111
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.052
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.02
Doug McDermott
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.13%Wt 0.124
Devin Vassell
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 18,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.039
Jeremy Sochan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 13.87%Wt 0.281
Charles Bassey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.02