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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1185
Dallas Mavericks Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.85 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.25 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
27 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
223
of 4,845 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago4.6%unopened
Rare5 / 148 (3.4%)
Common441 / 9,542 (4.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 148 | 1.1% | ~1 in 45 |
| Common | 441 / 9,542 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 27 of 27 (100%)Mark Aguirre
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$15.30
Floor
$17.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.004
Dallas Mavericks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.018
Luka Dončić
Seeing Stars
COMMON2
FMV
$1.22
Floor
$0.79
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.004
Derek Harper
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.99
Floor
$1.10
Mint 5,000
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.018
Dirk Nowitzki
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.74
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.25
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.013
Luka Dončić
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.23%Wt 0.018
Jaden Hardy
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.33
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.036
Luka Dončić
Extra Spice
COMMON4
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.30
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.022
Dwight Powell
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.17%Wt 0.09
Devin Harris
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.80%Wt 0.157
Luka Dončić
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,250
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.045
Raymond Felton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.009
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.86%Wt 0.085
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.64%Wt 0.126
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.04
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.031
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 22.22%Wt 0.323
Maxi Kleber
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 15.12%Wt 0.22
Josh Green
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.013
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 7.72%Wt 0.112
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.21
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.022