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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1185
Dallas Mavericks Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.75
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.83 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.75 ask
Typical Pull
$0.46
Grail premium $0.37 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.75 ask
FMV coverage
100%
35 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
223
of 4,845 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago4.6%unopened
Rare5 / 148 (3.4%)
2.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.1 · 0.7× launch rate
Common441 / 9,542 (4.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 148 | 1.1% | ~1 in 45 |
| Common | 441 / 9,542 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 35 of 35 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Mark Aguirre
Layup · Jan 24, 1987
Run It Back 1986-87
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Dallas Mavericks
Dunk · Jan 5, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Dirk Nowitzki
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$1.35
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Steal · Dec 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 500
Hit 4.48%Wt 0.045
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · May 26, 2021
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Assist · Jan 30, 2022
Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
Assist · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.46
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Luka Dončić
Assist · Jan 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.64
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
Luka Dončić
Steal · Dec 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.56
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.66%Wt 0.117
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.56
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.28%Wt 0.063
Luka Dončić
Jump Shot · May 27, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 8,250
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.022
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 10.99%Wt 0.11
Derek Harper
Handles · Jan 13, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Devin Harris
Jump Shot · Dec 5, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.85%Wt 0.078
Dwight Powell
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Maxi Kleber
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.049
Dwight Powell
Dunk · Feb 29, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.48%Wt 0.045
Dwight Powell
Dunk · Oct 30, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.016
Kyrie Irving
Jump Shot · Apr 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.28%Wt 0.063
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Nov 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.049
Tim Hardaway Jr.
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.26%Wt 0.043
Dante Exum
Assist · Dec 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.16%Wt 0.052
Tim Hardaway Jr.
3 Pointer · Nov 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.69%Wt 0.027
Dwight Powell
Steal · Jan 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.61%Wt 0.056