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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1186
Detroit Pistons Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.26 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.50
Grail premium $0.76 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
95
of 3,405 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 66d ago2.8%unopened
Rare4 / 138 (2.9%)
Common186 / 6,671 (2.8%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 66d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 138 | 2.1% | ~1 in 24 |
| Common | 186 / 6,671 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Cade Cunningham
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$22.91
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.021
Bill Laimbeer
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.011
Detroit Pistons 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.58%Wt 0.032
Jaden Ivey
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.042
Ben Wallace
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.30
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.011
Cade Cunningham
Hustle and Show
COMMON6
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.011
Cade Cunningham
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.116
Jaden Ivey
Extra Spice
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.24
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.021
Isaiah Stewart
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.74%Wt 0.095
Marvin Bagley III
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.021
Isaiah Stewart
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.011
Isaiah Stewart
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.32%Wt 0.326
James Wiseman
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.011
Reggie Jackson
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 14.21%Wt 0.284
Isaiah Stewart
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.042
Andre Drummond
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.68%Wt 0.274
Isaiah Stewart
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.18
Mint 60,000
Hit 11.05%Wt 0.221
Bojan Bogdanović
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.42%Wt 0.168
James Wiseman
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.53%Wt 0.211
Cade Cunningham
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.074