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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1187
Golden State Warriors Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.88 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00
Typical Pull
$0.62
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
92%
live pool
Packs remaining
528
of 6,839 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago7.7%unopened
Rare5 / 133 (3.8%)
Common1,049 / 13,545 (7.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 133 | 0.5% | ~1 in 106 |
| Common | 1,049 / 13,545 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Sleepy Floyd
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$7.60
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.004
Golden State Warriors 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$7.19
Floor
$7.99
Mint 500
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.006
Steph Curry
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$2.89
Floor
$2.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.013
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.21
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.009
Moses Moody
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.55
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.009
Steph Curry
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.30
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.017
Steph Curry
Extra Spice
COMMON4
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.40
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.011
Steph Curry
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.015
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.26
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.025
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 19.48%Wt 0.254
Jonathan Kuminga
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.25
Mint 18,000
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.021
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.013
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.10%Wt 0.08
Dario Šarić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.38
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.54%Wt 0.085
Andrew Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.65%Wt 0.165
Klay Thompson
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.028
Klay Thompson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 15.26%Wt 0.199
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.96%Wt 0.078
Jonathan Kuminga
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.81%Wt 0.076
Kevon Looney
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.78%Wt 0.049
Draymond Green
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.20%Wt 0.042
Draymond Green
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.51%Wt 0.059
Andrew Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.10
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.011