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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1189
Boston Celtics Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.78 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $34.00
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.18 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $34.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
383
of 6,978 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago5.5%unopened
Rare8 / 140 (5.7%)
Common752 / 13,816 (5.4%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 8 / 140 | 1.1% | ~1 in 48 |
| Common | 752 / 13,816 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)Boston Celtics Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.021
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.89
Floor
$0.99
Mint 9,500
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.023
Danny Ainge
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.75
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.008
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.029
Paul Pierce
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.21
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.008
Rajon Rondo
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.24
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.01
Sam Hauser
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.72%Wt 0.052
Derrick White
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.30
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.029
Jaylen Brown
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.36%Wt 0.026
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.016
Jaylen Brown
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.01
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 16.75%Wt 0.185
Jayson Tatum
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.83%Wt 0.031
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.02%Wt 0.089
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 35,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.029
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 9,999
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.013
Derrick White
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 9.91%Wt 0.11
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 60,000
Hit 9.20%Wt 0.102
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 9,999
Hit 7.08%Wt 0.078
Derrick White
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,250
Hit 2.83%Wt 0.031
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 9.43%Wt 0.104
Jrue Holiday
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.42%Wt 0.06
Al Horford
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.83%Wt 0.031