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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1190
Video Game Numbers: March
Rare6 slots
Pack price
$69.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $23.48 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $53.00
Typical Pull
$5.40
Grail premium $18.08 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $53.00
FMV coverage
100%
47 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 77d ago
Packs remaining
81
of 1,959 minted · as of 77d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 77d ago4.1%unopened
Legendary1 / 11 (9.1%)
Rare98 / 2,449 (4.0%)
Common387 / 9,294 (4.2%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 77d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 11 | 0.2% | ~1 in 81 |
| Rare | 98 / 2,449 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 387 / 9,294 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 47 of 47 (100%)Coby White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.012
LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$19.75
Floor
$17.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.086
Steph Curry
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$15.63
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.70%Wt 0.136
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.012
Trae Young
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.198
Kyrie Irving
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.074
Alperen Şengün
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$6.99
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.086
Jayson Tatum
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$6.99
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.086
Damian Lillard
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.123
Devin Booker
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.16
Desmond Bane
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$3.92
Floor
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.123
Keegan Murray
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$3.86
Floor
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.70%Wt 0.136
Leonard Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.18
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.074
Jordan Walsh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.074
Brice Sensabaugh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.90
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.074
Craig Porter Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.037
Noah Clowney
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.037
Julian Phillips
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.037
GG Jackson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.52
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.049
Paolo Banchero
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.062
Spencer Dinwiddie
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.099
Hunter Tyson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.123
E.J. Liddell
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.12%Wt 0.235
Alec Burks
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.111