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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1191
Video Game Numbers: March Quick Rip
Common6 slots
Pack price
$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $13.44 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
Typical Pull
$5.58
Grail premium $7.86 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
FMV coverage
100%
36 editions
Depletion
93%
live pool
Packs remaining
942
of 13,490 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 5d ago7.0%unopened
Rare95 / 1,349 (7.0%)
Common5,545 / 79,589 (7.0%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 5d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 95 / 1,349 | 1.7% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 5,545 / 79,589 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 36 of 36 (100%)LeBron James
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$19.50
Floor
$19.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.008
Alperen Şengün
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$13.08
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.013
Steph Curry
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$12.83
Floor
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.012
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.001
Damian Lillard
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$8.13
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.014
Trae Young
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.008
Jayson Tatum
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$5.95
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.005
Kyrie Irving
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.01
Devin Booker
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$5.20
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.34%Wt 0.007
Keegan Murray
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.011
Desmond Bane
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.013
Gradey Dick
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.004
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.58
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.005
Leonard Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.33
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.023
Brice Sensabaugh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.07
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.01
Jordan Walsh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.05
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.28%Wt 0.04
Keon Ellis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$1.02
Floor
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.20%Wt 0.051
Taylor Hendricks
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.01
GG Jackson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.93
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.023
Craig Porter Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.01
Noah Clowney
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.77
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.11%Wt 0.012
Julian Phillips
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.019
Spencer Dinwiddie
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.45
Mint 2,023
Hit 19.54%Wt 0.108
Buddy Hield
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.24
Mint 2,023
Hit 18.77%Wt 0.104