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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1194
Los Angeles Clippers Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$0.71
Net −$2.04 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.75
Typical Pull
$0.58
Grail premium $0.13 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.26x
-74.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.75
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
87%
live pool
Packs remaining
282
of 2,237 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago13%unopened
Rare10 / 117 (8.5%)
Common554 / 4,357 (13%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 10 / 117 | 1.8% | ~1 in 28 |
| Common | 554 / 4,357 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)LA Clippers Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.035
Michael Cage
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.57
Floor
$0.50
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.096
Russell Westbrook
Extra Spice
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
JJ Redick
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Terance Mann
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.36
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.07%Wt 0.206
DeAndre Jordan
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.82%Wt 0.145
Terance Mann
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.24
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.007
James Harden
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.35
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Terance Mann
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 22.33%Wt 0.415
Lou Williams
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.97%Wt 0.167
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 9,500
Hit 4.96%Wt 0.092
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.34%Wt 0.025
Bones Hyland
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.36%Wt 0.248
Paul George
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.21
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.007
Paul George
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.014
Norman Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.007
Daniel Theis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.64%Wt 0.216
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.29%Wt 0.043
Norman Powell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 30,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.039
Paul George
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.007
Terance Mann
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.24%Wt 0.06
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.007