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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1199
New York Knicks Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.84 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
Typical Pull
$0.62
Grail premium $0.22 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
172
of 3,237 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago5.3%unopened
Rare5 / 129 (3.9%)
Common339 / 6,345 (5.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 129 | 1.5% | ~1 in 35 |
| Common | 339 / 6,345 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)New York Knicks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.35
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.029
Gerald Wilkins
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.50
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.012
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.35
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.058
José Calderón
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.59%Wt 0.192
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.34
Mint 4,500
Hit 15.70%Wt 0.314
Donte DiVincenzo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 16.57%Wt 0.331
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 12.79%Wt 0.256
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.23%Wt 0.105
Josh Hart
Extra Spice
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.012
Julius Randle
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 7,911
Hit 3.20%Wt 0.064
Julius Randle
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.07
Julius Randle
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.023
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.006
Isaiah Hartenstein
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.23%Wt 0.105
Julius Randle
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.012
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.006
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 16.57%Wt 0.331
Julius Randle
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.07
Stephon Marbury
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.006