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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1200
Washington Wizards Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.00
Actual EV
$0.67
Net −$2.33 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 88% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.23 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.22x
-77.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 88% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
88%
pool · as of 16h ago
Packs remaining
191
of 1,597 minted · as of 16h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 16h ago12%unopened
Rare11 / 114 (9.6%)
5.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.1 · 0.8× launch rate
Common371 / 3,080 (12%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 11 / 114 | 2.9% | ~1 in 18 |
| Common | 371 / 3,080 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Washington Wizards
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Daniel Gafford
Block · Nov 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.68
Mint 500
Hit 14.66%Wt 0.147
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Feb 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.021
John Wall
Layup · Jan 18, 2014
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.24%Wt 0.052
Marcin Gortat
Dunk · Feb 24, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Deni Avdija
Assist · Nov 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.26%Wt 0.113
Jordan Poole
3 Pointer · Dec 19, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.21%Wt 0.102
Nenê
Dunk · May 11, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.12%Wt 0.081
Corey Kispert
Layup · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.24%Wt 0.052
John Wall
Layup · Dec 25, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Kyle Kuzma
3 Pointer · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.24%Wt 0.052
Corey Kispert
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.034
Kyle Kuzma
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.034
Deni Avdija
Block · Dec 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.01
Jared Jeffries
Block · Apr 22, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Kyle Kuzma
Layup · Oct 22, 2021
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.016
Landry Shamet
Dunk · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.87%Wt 0.139
Kyle Kuzma
Jump Shot · Feb 15, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.54%Wt 0.065
Johnny Davis
Layup · Mar 22, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.19%Wt 0.042