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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1201
Sacramento Kings Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$1.07
Net −$1.93 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.58
Grail premium $0.49 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.36x
-64.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
86%
live pool
Packs remaining
319
of 2,311 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago14%unopened
Rare8 / 121 (6.6%)
Common628 / 4,501 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 8 / 121 | 1.3% | ~1 in 40 |
| Common | 628 / 4,501 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)Sacramento Kings 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.025
Reggie Theus
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$1.15
Floor
$1.00
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.013
Otis Thorpe
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$1.12
Floor
$0.90
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.003
Keon Ellis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$1.02
Floor
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.72%Wt 0.194
Davion Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$1.01
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.006
Omri Casspi
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.87
Floor
$0.70
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.88%Wt 0.147
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.65
Floor
$0.30
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.053
Domantas Sabonis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.016
Rajon Rondo
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.96%Wt 0.182
Malik Monk
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.053
Bonzi Wells
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.24
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.009
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 9,999
Hit 3.97%Wt 0.066
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.031
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.053
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.009
Kevin Huerter
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 11.53%Wt 0.191
Kevin Huerter
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.041
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 12.10%Wt 0.201
JaVale McGee
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.96%Wt 0.182
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.97%Wt 0.066
De'Aaron Fox
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.016
Trey Lyles
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.21
Mint 9,500
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.041
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.025
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.013