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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1202
Houston Rockets Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$4.00
Retail $2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.77 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.36
Grail premium $0.41 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
14 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
60
of 2,368 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago2.5%unopened
Rare4 / 118 (3.4%)
6.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 1.3× launch rate
Common116 / 4,618 (2.5%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 118 | 3.3% | ~1 in 15 |
| Common | 116 / 4,618 | 97% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 14 of 14 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Houston Rockets
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.075
Jalen Green
Layup · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Alperen Şengün
Layup · Nov 15, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 17,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Jabari Smith Jr.
Block · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.25%Wt 0.225
Tari Eason
Steal · Dec 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.25%Wt 0.225
Josh Smith
Reel · May 15, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.063
Trevor Ariza
3 Pointer · May 17, 2018
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.1
Jae'Sean Tate
Hook Shot · Mar 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.05
Jalen Green
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Jae'Sean Tate
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.063
Jeff Green
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.025
Aaron Holiday
Layup · Nov 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.88%Wt 0.238
Jae'Sean Tate
Layup · Dec 4, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 17,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Jalen Green
Dunk · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 44.38%Wt 0.888