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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1202
Houston Rockets Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.83 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.39 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
14 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
80
of 2,368 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 66d ago3.4%unopened
Rare6 / 118 (5.1%)
Common154 / 4,618 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 66d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 6 / 118 | 3.8% | ~1 in 14 |
| Common | 154 / 4,618 | 96% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 14 of 14 (100%)Houston Rockets
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.075
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.00
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Alperen Şengün
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.20
Mint 17,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Josh Smith
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.063
Trevor Ariza
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.1
Jae'Sean Tate
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 17,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Tari Eason
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.25%Wt 0.225
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 44.38%Wt 0.888
Jae'Sean Tate
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.063
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.013
Jabari Smith Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.25%Wt 0.225
Jeff Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.025
Aaron Holiday
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.88%Wt 0.238
Jae'Sean Tate
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.05