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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1203
Miami Heat Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.79
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.64 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.79 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.24 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.79 ask
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
116
of 3,188 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago3.6%unopened
Rare5 / 130 (3.8%)
4.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.1 · ≈ launch rate
Common227 / 6,246 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 130 | 2.2% | ~1 in 23 |
| Common | 227 / 6,246 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Miami Heat
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Nikola Jović
Layup · Oct 27, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.85
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.004
Duncan Robinson
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.61
Mint 500
Hit 6.90%Wt 0.069
Tyler Herro
Layup · Feb 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.034
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Feb 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Chris Andersen
Dunk · Mar 18, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.62%Wt 0.086
Haywood Highsmith
Block · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.03%Wt 0.06
Duncan Robinson
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Duncan Robinson
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Tyler Herro
Block · Jan 13, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Duncan Robinson
3 Pointer · Apr 17, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
James Johnson
Dunk · Oct 22, 2017
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 4,500
Hit 11.64%Wt 0.116
Bam Adebayo
Block · Nov 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.60%Wt 0.056
Jimmy Butler
Assist · Nov 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.17%Wt 0.052
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Feb 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.74%Wt 0.047
Haywood Highsmith
3 Pointer · Jan 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.043
Kevin Love
Assist · Nov 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.043
Duncan Robinson
Layup · Jan 9, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.026
Tyler Herro
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Jimmy Butler
Layup · May 22, 2021
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.017
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Mar 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Caleb Martin
Dunk · Dec 17, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.62%Wt 0.086
Jimmy Butler
Dunk · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.60%Wt 0.056
Caleb Martin
Layup · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.026