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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1203
Miami Heat Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.65 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.79
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.21 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.79
FMV coverage
100%
23 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
117
of 3,188 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 66d ago3.7%unopened
Rare5 / 130 (3.8%)
Common229 / 6,246 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 66d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 130 | 2.1% | ~1 in 24 |
| Common | 229 / 6,246 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 23 of 23 (100%)Miami Heat 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.043
Nikola Jović
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.93
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.009
Alonzo Mourning
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.18
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.009
Bam Adebayo
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.009
Chris Andersen
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.14
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.36%Wt 0.171
Tyler Herro
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.009
Bam Adebayo
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.017
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.88%Wt 0.179
Tyler Herro
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.15%Wt 0.068
Tyler Herro
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 9,999
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.051
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.034
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.10
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.026
Udonis Haslem
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.009
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.12
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.74%Wt 0.111
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.22%Wt 0.103
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 6.22%Wt 0.103
Haywood Highsmith
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.18%Wt 0.085
Caleb Martin
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.12
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.051
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.10
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.017
James Johnson
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.14
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.99%Wt 0.231
Kevin Love
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.18%Wt 0.085
Haywood Highsmith
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.25%Wt 0.12
Bam Adebayo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.74%Wt 0.111