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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1204
Utah Jazz Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$0.77
Net −$2.23 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.17 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.26x
-74.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
89%
live pool
Packs remaining
274
of 2,427 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 128 (1.6%)
Common546 / 4,726 (12%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 128 | 0.4% | ~1 in 137 |
| Common | 546 / 4,726 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Utah Jazz Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$13.49
Floor
$14.99
Mint 500
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.007
Walker Kessler
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$4.74
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.004
Mark Eaton
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$1.25
Floor
$0.50
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.011
Talen Horton-Tucker
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.88
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.011
Ochai Agbaji
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.79
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.47%Wt 0.109
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.50
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.004
Deron Williams
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.21
Mint 12,005
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.007
Ochai Agbaji
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.073
Simone Fontecchio
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.66%Wt 0.153
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.022
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.015
Walker Kessler
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.11
Mint 8,500
Hit 22.63%Wt 0.453
Lauri Markkanen
Hustle and Show
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.007
Talen Horton-Tucker
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.66%Wt 0.153
Joe Ingles
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.85%Wt 0.197
Lauri Markkanen
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 16.79%Wt 0.336
Gordon Hayward
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.40%Wt 0.208
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.055
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.018
Collin Sexton
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.48%Wt 0.15
Andrei Kirilenko
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.007