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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1204
Utah Jazz Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.50
Actual EV
$0.77
Net −$1.73 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.48
Grail premium $0.29 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.31x
-69.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
22 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
271
of 2,427 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 128 (1.6%)
0.74 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.3 · 0.1× launch rate
Common540 / 4,726 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 128 | 0.4% | ~1 in 136 |
| Common | 540 / 4,726 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 22 of 22 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Utah Jazz
Dunk · Dec 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Walker Kessler
Layup · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Mark Eaton
Block · Jan 31, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.66
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.006
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.85
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 11.44%Wt 0.114
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.89%Wt 0.109
Gordon Hayward
Dunk · Apr 22, 2017
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.33%Wt 0.103
Joe Ingles
3 Pointer · Apr 24, 2018
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.96%Wt 0.1
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Talen Horton-Tucker
Layup · Oct 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.006
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Dec 29, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Lauri Markkanen
Assist · Nov 7, 2023
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Lauri Markkanen
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.79%Wt 0.168
Ochai Agbaji
Dunk · Feb 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.69%Wt 0.037
Talen Horton-Tucker
Block · Nov 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.75%Wt 0.077
Ochai Agbaji
Dunk · Dec 19, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.54%Wt 0.055
Simone Fontecchio
Jump Shot · Mar 10, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.75%Wt 0.077
Collin Sexton
Assist · Nov 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.56%Wt 0.076
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Feb 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Andrei Kirilenko
Dunk · Mar 12, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Deron Williams
Layup · Mar 4, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 12,005
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Jordan Clarkson
Steal · Oct 29, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Jordan Clarkson
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.009
