What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #1205
Rookie Revelation 2023-24
Legendary9 slots
Pack price
$1,499
Actual EV
$472
Net −$353 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $825
Typical Pull
$11.79
Grail premium $460 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.57x
-42.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $825
FMV coverage
100%
78 editions
Depletion
85%
live pool
Packs remaining
130
of 843 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22d ago15%unopened
Legendary135 / 895 (15%)
Rare104 / 631 (16%)
Common939 / 6,051 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 22d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 135 / 895 | 11% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 104 / 631 | 8.8% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 939 / 6,051 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 78 of 78 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$2,595
Floor
$2,055
Mint 75
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.031
Victor Wembanyama
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$889
Floor
$988
Mint 199
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.046
Amen Thompson
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$440
Floor
$439
Mint 75
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.123
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$226
Floor
$145
Mint 75
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.085
Brandon Miller
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$208
Floor
$200
Mint 75
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.069
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$205
Floor
$228
Mint 75
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.092
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$204
Floor
$192
Mint 75
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.038
Gradey Dick
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$183
Floor
$180
Mint 75
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.062
Keyonte George
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$160
Floor
$130
Mint 75
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.085
Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$156
Floor
$146
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.51%Wt 0.1
Brandin Podziemski
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$153
Floor
$170
Mint 75
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.092
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$144
Floor
$160
Mint 75
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.062
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$78.00
Floor
$75.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.077
Amen Thompson
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$68.65
Floor
$43.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.023
Bilal Coulibaly
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$67.25
Floor
$64.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.069
Cason Wallace
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$63.75
Floor
$75.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.031
Cam Whitmore
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$61.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.108
Cason Wallace
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$37.80
Floor
$42.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.054
Scoot Henderson
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$37.33
Floor
$24.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.054
Anthony Black
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$32.40
Floor
$36.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.58%Wt 0.038
Keyonte George
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$31.41
Floor
$34.90
Mint 199
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.046
Dereck Lively II
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$23.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.062
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.84
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.169
Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.131