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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1206
Rookie Revelation Quick Rip
Common6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.32
Grail premium $1.73 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
184 editions
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
1,237
of 14,500 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago8.5%unopened
Legendary2 / 29 (6.9%)
0.16 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.20 · 0.8× launch rate
Rare127 / 1,479 (8.6%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · ≈ launch rate
Common7,293 / 85,489 (8.5%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 2 / 29 | <0.1% | ~1 in 619 |
| Rare | 127 / 1,479 | 1.7% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 7,293 / 85,489 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 184 of 184 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Amen Thompson
Handles · Dec 23, 2023
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$439
Recent Low
—
Mint 75
Hit 0.01%Wt 0
Gradey Dick
Layup · Feb 11, 2024
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$225
Recent Low
$185
Mint 75
Hit 0.01%Wt 0
Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Rayan Rupert
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.94
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
De'Aaron Fox
Jump Shot · Jan 4, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.26%Wt 0.023
Sidy Cissoko
Jump Shot · Dec 27, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Jalen Smith
Block · Jan 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.89%Wt 0.019
Lauri Markkanen
3 Pointer · Feb 7, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Cade Cunningham
Jump Shot · Dec 30, 2023
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.57%Wt 0.026
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.025
Jontay Porter
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.44%Wt 0.024
Isaac Okoro
Assist · Jan 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.64%Wt 0.026
Alperen Şengün
Layup · Nov 20, 2023
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.72%Wt 0.027
Jamal Murray
Layup · Jan 24, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Nov 7, 2023
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Anthony Davis
Block · Dec 31, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
James Harden
Handles · Nov 21, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.68%Wt 0.027
Aaron Wiggins
3 Pointer · Feb 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Ziaire Williams
Dunk · Feb 16, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.026
Nikola Jović
3 Pointer · Feb 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.37%Wt 0.024
Vince Williams Jr.
3 Pointer · Jan 15, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.023
Blake Wesley
Dunk · Feb 15, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.022