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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1209
Orlando Magic Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.96 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.50
Typical Pull
$0.54
Grail premium $0.42 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.50
FMV coverage
100%
22 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
131
of 3,312 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 66d ago4.0%unopened
Rare6 / 127 (4.7%)
Common256 / 6,497 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 66d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 6 / 127 | 2.3% | ~1 in 22 |
| Common | 256 / 6,497 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 22 of 22 (100%)Paolo Banchero
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$10.50
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Orlando Magic
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.87%Wt 0.046
Jalen Suggs
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.50
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Caleb Houstan
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.99
Floor
$0.65
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Jonathan Isaac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.031
Dwight Howard
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.24
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Franz Wagner
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.20
Mint 17,500
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.038
Jalen Suggs
Extra Spice
COMMON4
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Nikola Vučević
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.88%Wt 0.221
Wendell Carter Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Chuma Okeke
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 25.84%Wt 0.412
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.66%Wt 0.122
Elfrid Payton
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.038
Jalen Suggs
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.008
Cole Anthony
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 15.31%Wt 0.244
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.18%Wt 0.115
Wendell Carter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.31%Wt 0.069
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.015
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.22%Wt 0.099
Markelle Fultz
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.87%Wt 0.046
Cole Anthony
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.39%Wt 0.038