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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1209
Orlando Magic Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.36 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.54
Grail premium $0.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
131
of 3,312 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago4.0%unopened
Rare6 / 127 (4.7%)
4.6 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.8 · 1.2× launch rate
Common256 / 6,497 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 6 / 127 | 2.3% | ~1 in 22 |
| Common | 256 / 6,497 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$11.88
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Orlando Magic
3 Pointer · Jan 12, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.29%Wt 0.023
Cole Anthony
Handles · Nov 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$3.56
Recent Low
$3.95
Mint 500
Hit 7.63%Wt 0.076
Jalen Suggs
3 Pointer · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Caleb Houstan
Block · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Nikola Vučević
Jump Shot · Feb 7, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,500
Hit 11.07%Wt 0.111
Elfrid Payton
Assist · Jan 15, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
Franz Wagner
Handles · Nov 7, 2021
Rising Stars
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 17,500
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
Jonathan Isaac
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Jalen Suggs
Dunk · Feb 26, 2022
Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Franz Wagner
Assist · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.11%Wt 0.061
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 20.61%Wt 0.206
Wendell Carter Jr.
Layup · Mar 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Dec 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Caleb Houstan
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.16%Wt 0.092
Cole Anthony
Jump Shot · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.96%Wt 0.05
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.027
Markelle Fultz
Block · Feb 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.29%Wt 0.023
Cole Anthony
Handles · Nov 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.58%Wt 0.046
Chuma Okeke
Block · Jan 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Cole Anthony
Layup · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Goga Bitadze
Block · Nov 22, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.73%Wt 0.057