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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1210
Chicago Bulls Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$1.20
Net −$1.75 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.95
Typical Pull
$0.78
Grail premium $0.42 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.41x
-59.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.95
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
88%
live pool
Packs remaining
389
of 3,318 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago12%unopened
Rare21 / 132 (16%)
Common757 / 6,504 (12%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 21 / 132 | 2.7% | ~1 in 19 |
| Common | 757 / 6,504 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Chicago Bulls Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.051
Alex Caruso
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.46
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Ayo Dosunmu
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.14
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Joakim Noah
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.82%Wt 0.172
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.70
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.09
Charles Oakley
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.40
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.015
Zach LaVine
Seeing Stars
COMMON2
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.30
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.01
Kirk Hinrich
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.17%Wt 0.213
Patrick Williams
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,500
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.039
Alex Caruso
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.36
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.026
Zach LaVine
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.38
Mint 8,500
Hit 24.34%Wt 0.427
Dalen Terry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.09
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.026
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.81%Wt 0.067
Ayo Dosunmu
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.08%Wt 0.054
Zach LaVine
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.028
DeMar DeRozan
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,111
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.013
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.33
Mint 60,000
Hit 7.04%Wt 0.123
Zach LaVine
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.028
Alex Caruso
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.32
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.021
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.10
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.018
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.051
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.041
Patrick Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.34
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.082