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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1211
Charlotte Hornets Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.92 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.50
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.50
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
90%
live pool
Packs remaining
214
of 2,230 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago9.6%unopened
Rare11 / 116 (9.5%)
Common417 / 4,344 (9.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 11 / 116 | 2.6% | ~1 in 20 |
| Common | 417 / 4,344 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Gerald Wallace
Run It Back 2005-06
RARE3
FMV
$8.40
Floor
$8.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
Charlotte Hornets 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.15
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.047
LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.95
Floor
$0.75
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.028
Bryce McGowens
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.047
Mark Williams
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.30
Mint 15,500
Hit 3.74%Wt 0.075
Jeremy Lamb
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 14.72%Wt 0.294
Cody Zeller
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.29
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.85%Wt 0.257
Nick Richards
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.38%Wt 0.248
P.J. Washington
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.61%Wt 0.112
Mark Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.55%Wt 0.271
LaMelo Ball
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.009
Cody Martin
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
P.J. Washington
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 15.65%Wt 0.313
LaMelo Ball
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 18,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.042
LaMelo Ball
Extra Spice
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.15
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
P.J. Washington
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.21
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.014
LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.21
Mint 9,999
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
Cody Martin
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.97%Wt 0.079
P.J. Washington
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.91%Wt 0.098
P.J. Washington
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.042