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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1217

New Orleans Pelicans Pack February

Name: New Orleans Pelicans Pack February
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 2 USD

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.71/pack▼ 68% below the $2.25 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 84% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.25 askTypical pull ≈ $0.42 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.25] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

330

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

660

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$16.32

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.36

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
New Orleans Pelicans · Squad Goals	RARE	2.92%	$3.75	31.0%
Zion Williamson · Base Set	COMMON	8.88%	$0.49	12.3%
Zion Williamson · Base Set	COMMON	19.16%	$0.21	11.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.00 (90d)Last $2.00 · 11d agoRetail $2.25388 sales · 2 in 90d

trades ~0.89× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$2.25

Actual EV

$0.71

Net −$1.54 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 84% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.25 ask

Typical Pull

$0.42

Grail premium $0.29 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.32x

-68.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 84% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.25 ask

FMV coverage

100%

38 editions

Depletion

84%

pool · as of 5h ago

Packs remaining

394

of 2,408 minted · as of 5h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 5h ago

16%unopened

394 / 2,408 packs

Rare23 / 125 (18%)

5.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.2 · 1.1× launch rate

Common765 / 4,691 (16%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 5h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	23 / 125	2.9%	~1 in 17
Common	765 / 4,691	97%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 38 of 38 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Buyer	Sale price	When
@CKILLZONE	$2.00	11d ago
@CKILLZONE	$2.00	28d ago
@Rich3939	$2.00	142d ago
@Rich3939	$2.00	174d ago
@5talen	$2.00	176d ago
@NoGoodClippers	$2.00	178d ago
@standard_bengal_tiger4789	$2.00	178d ago
@dukeduke	$2.00	178d ago
@Rich3939	$2.00	178d ago
@deucespades	$2.00	178d ago

New Orleans Pelicans Pack February

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV