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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1217
New Orleans Pelicans Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$1.23
Net −$1.52 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (84% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.75
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.63 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.45x
-55.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (84% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.75
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
84%
live pool
Packs remaining
396
of 2,408 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago16%unopened
Rare23 / 125 (18%)
Common769 / 4,691 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 23 / 125 | 2.9% | ~1 in 17 |
| Common | 769 / 4,691 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)New Orleans Pelicans Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$6.30
Floor
$7.00
Mint 500
Hit 4.62%Wt 0.058
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.21
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.005
Dyson Daniels
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$2.16
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.005
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.10
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.005
Alexis Ajinça
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.04%Wt 0.126
Jose Alvarado
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.005
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.025
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.22
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.008
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.45%Wt 0.157
Brandon Ingram
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 6.83%Wt 0.086
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.025
Zion Williamson
Hustle and Show
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.013
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.28
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.023
Dyson Daniels
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.45%Wt 0.169
Jason Smith
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.13
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.24%Wt 0.129
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.82%Wt 0.048
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.013
Brandon Ingram
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.025
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 14.26%Wt 0.179
Brandon Ingram
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.01
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.04
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.035
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.01
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.10
Mint 12,000
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.03