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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1219
Memphis Grizzlies Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.78 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1.99
Typical Pull
$0.58
Grail premium $0.20 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1.99
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
90%
live pool
Packs remaining
298
of 3,110 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago9.6%unopened
Rare10 / 129 (7.8%)
Common582 / 6,091 (9.6%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 10 / 129 | 1.7% | ~1 in 30 |
| Common | 582 / 6,091 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)Jaren Jackson Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.003
Memphis Grizzlies Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.26
Floor
$3.50
Mint 500
Hit 2.10%Wt 0.03
Jake LaRavia
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.35
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.003
Santi Aldama
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.60
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.017
Ziaire Williams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.003
Marcus Smart
Extra Spice
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.013
Hakim Warrick
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.10
Mint 12,005
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.007
Brandon Clarke
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,750
Hit 2.80%Wt 0.04
John Konchar
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.02
Zach Randolph
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 20.51%Wt 0.295
Santi Aldama
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.96%Wt 0.158
Jaren Jackson Jr.
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.013
Brandon Clarke
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.16%Wt 0.117
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.26%Wt 0.047
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.80%Wt 0.04
Ja Morant
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.017
Zach Randolph
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 22.84%Wt 0.329
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.66%Wt 0.067
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.50%Wt 0.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.017
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.084
Ja Morant
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.14
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.027
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.023