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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1220
Portland Trail Blazers Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.00 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.58
Grail premium $0.42 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (90% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
90%
live pool
Packs remaining
329
of 3,337 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago9.9%unopened
Rare24 / 137 (18%)
Common633 / 6,537 (9.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 24 / 137 | 3.7% | ~1 in 14 |
| Common | 633 / 6,537 | 96% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)Clyde Drexler
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$34.00
Floor
$40.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Shaedon Sharpe
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Portland Trail Blazers Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.75
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 3.35%Wt 0.067
Damian Lillard
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.10
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.006
Kiki Vandeweghe
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.61
Floor
$0.60
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.012
Terry Porter
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.26
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.018
Jabari Walker
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Carmelo Anthony
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.03
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.006
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.21
Mint 12,005
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.003
Anfernee Simons
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 16.59%Wt 0.331
Anfernee Simons
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.21
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.50%Wt 0.07
Carmelo Anthony
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.24
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.012
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 15.98%Wt 0.319
Nicolas Batum
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.21
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.61%Wt 0.152
CJ McCollum
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 10.65%Wt 0.213
Shaedon Sharpe
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.024
Jerami Grant
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 13,500
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.012
Jabari Walker
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.024
Malcolm Brogdon
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 17.20%Wt 0.343
Anfernee Simons
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.052
Anfernee Simons
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.052
Skylar Mays
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.81%Wt 0.216
Carmelo Anthony
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.018