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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1221
Toronto Raptors Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.39
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.64 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.39 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.24 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.39 ask
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 13h ago
Packs remaining
435
of 4,742 minted · as of 13h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 13h ago9.2%unopened
Rare11 / 129 (8.5%)
2.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.7 · ≈ launch rate
Common859 / 9,355 (9.2%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 11 / 129 | 1.3% | ~1 in 40 |
| Common | 859 / 9,355 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Scottie Barnes
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Toronto Raptors
Dunk · Jan 7, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Dennis Schröder
Assist · Nov 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 500
Hit 4.14%Wt 0.041
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Feb 27, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Jan 2, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Mar 31, 2023
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
RJ Barrett
Layup · Jan 2, 2024
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,023
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Scottie Barnes
Layup · Jan 19, 2024
Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Feb 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.86%Wt 0.059
Scottie Barnes
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
Jonas Valančiūnas
Jump Shot · May 6, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.53%Wt 0.125
Terrence Ross
Dunk · Jan 26, 2014
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.54%Wt 0.095
Chris Boucher
Dunk · Feb 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Morris Peterson
Layup · Jan 18, 2006
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.69%Wt 0.007
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · May 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Gary Trent Jr.
3 Pointer · Jan 18, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 19.43%Wt 0.194
Chris Boucher
Dunk · Nov 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.67%Wt 0.167
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Nov 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.01%Wt 0.07
Chris Boucher
Block · Jan 9, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Terence Davis
Dunk · Jan 5, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Gary Trent Jr.
3 Pointer · Feb 1, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.031
Gary Trent Jr.
Dunk · Dec 31, 2022
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 5,555
Hit 2.76%Wt 0.028
Gary Trent Jr.
3 Pointer · Apr 5, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Chris Boucher
Dunk · Nov 12, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.44%Wt 0.064