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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1221
Toronto Raptors Pack February
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.85 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.25 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
91%
live pool
Packs remaining
444
of 4,742 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22d ago9.4%unopened
Rare11 / 129 (8.5%)
Common877 / 9,355 (9.4%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 22d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 11 / 129 | 1.2% | ~1 in 41 |
| Common | 877 / 9,355 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$19.83
Floor
$15.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.007
Toronto Raptors Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.18
Floor
$3.89
Mint 500
Hit 1.24%Wt 0.025
Kyle Lowry
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.007
Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.38
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.077
DeMar DeRozan
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
Immanuel Quickley
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.24
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.011
Scottie Barnes
Extra Spice
COMMON6
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.014
Jakob Poeltl
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.52
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.87%Wt 0.137
Terrence Ross
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 9.57%Wt 0.191
RJ Barrett
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.29
Mint 2,023
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.02
Chris Boucher
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.55%Wt 0.331
Scottie Barnes
Hustle and Show
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.005
Jonas Valančiūnas
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.50%Wt 0.25
Dennis Schröder
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.083
Chris Boucher
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.27
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.42%Wt 0.128
Gary Trent Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.009
Gary Trent Jr.
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 3.04%Wt 0.061
Gary Trent Jr.
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.04%Wt 0.061
Gary Trent Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 19.26%Wt 0.385
Morris Peterson
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.014
Chris Boucher
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.009
Jakob Poeltl
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.74%Wt 0.115
Chris Boucher
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.35%Wt 0.027
Terence Davis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.029