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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1225
Throwdowns X For The Win
Rare5 slots
Pack price
$25.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $22.66 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00
Typical Pull
$21.50
Grail premium $1.16 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
163
of 4,248 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20d ago3.8%unopened
Rare243 / 6,372 (3.8%)
Common572 / 14,868 (3.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 20d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 243 / 6,372 | 30% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 572 / 14,868 | 70% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)Josh Hart
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$10.19
Floor
$1.00
Mint 699
Hit 10.33%Wt 0.19
Kevin Durant
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$7.00
Mint 699
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.184
Donovan Mitchell
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$7.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.147
Nikola Vučević
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.147
Shaedon Sharpe
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.11
RJ Barrett
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.184
Max Strus
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.67%Wt 0.104
Brandon Ingram
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.31
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 9.67%Wt 0.178
Obi Toppin
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.30
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 6.33%Wt 0.117
Saddiq Bey
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.20
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 7.00%Wt 0.129
Anthony Black
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$2.77
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.012
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.62
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Cam Whitmore
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.30
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Leonard Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.025
Sidy Cissoko
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.26
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.018
Jett Howard
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.08
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Brice Sensabaugh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.07
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.012
Jordan Walsh
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.04
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
GG Jackson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.93
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Taylor Hendricks
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.88
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Marcus Sasser
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.006
Chris Livingston
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.67%Wt 0.196
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.012
Sasha Vezenkov
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.025