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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1226
Rookie Revelation First Rip
Common6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$1,000
Actual EV
—
≈ $10.69 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1,000 ask
Typical Pull
$1.26
Grail premium $9.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1,000 ask
FMV coverage
100%
53 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
16
of 473 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago3.4%unopened
Legendary1 / 1 (100%)
6.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.21 · 30× launch rate
Rare2 / 49 (4.1%)
13 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · 1.2× launch rate
Common93 / 2,788 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 1 | 1.0% | ~1 in 16 |
| Rare | 2 / 49 | 2.1% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 93 / 2,788 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 53 of 53 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Scoot Henderson
Dunk · Feb 1, 2024
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$131
Recent Low
$145
Mint 75
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Brandin Podziemski
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2023
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Miami Heat
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jarace Walker
Steal · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Rayan Rupert
3 Pointer · Nov 20, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
GG Jackson
3 Pointer · Dec 19, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Hunter Tyson
Dunk · Nov 2, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Jordan Hawkins
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Lauri Markkanen
3 Pointer · Feb 7, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031
Jalen Smith
Block · Jan 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Isaac Okoro
Assist · Jan 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.21%Wt 0.052
Alperen Şengün
Layup · Nov 20, 2023
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Jamal Murray
Layup · Jan 24, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Nov 7, 2023
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Aaron Wiggins
3 Pointer · Feb 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Al Horford
3 Pointer · Nov 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.21%Wt 0.052
Mikal Bridges
Jump Shot · Jan 7, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Ziaire Williams
Dunk · Feb 16, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031
Keldon Johnson
Dunk · Jan 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031
Khris Middleton
Jump Shot · Nov 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031
Bruno Fernando
Dunk · Feb 6, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Killian Hayes
Assist · Dec 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.031
