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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1262
Oklahoma City Thunder 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.11 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00
Typical Pull
$2.43
Grail premium $0.68 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00
FMV coverage
100%
15 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
106
of 2,387 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22d ago4.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare6 / 175 (3.4%)
Fandom212 / 4,762 (4.5%)
Common100 / 2,202 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 22d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 175 | 1.9% | ~1 in 18 |
| Fandom | 212 / 4,762 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 100 / 2,202 | 31% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)Manute Bol
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$14.33
Floor
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.019
Rashard Lewis
Run It Back 2005-06
RARE3
FMV
$10.86
Floor
$9.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.009
Dale Ellis
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$8.17
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.009
Mikal Bridges
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.019
Oklahoma City Thunder Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$1.31
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,381
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Oklahoma City Thunder Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$0.81
Floor
$0.95
Mint 2,381
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Lindy Waters III
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.33
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.97%Wt 0.179
Kenrich Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.48
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.72%Wt 0.142
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.14%Wt 0.094
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.113
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.028
Aaron Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.86%Wt 0.236
Isaiah Joe
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.047
Jaylin Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.83%Wt 0.085
Jalen Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.019