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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1263
Denver Nuggets 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.58 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
Typical Pull
$1.14
Grail premium $0.44 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
143
of 2,948 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 31d ago4.9%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare8 / 175 (4.6%)
Fandom286 / 5,896 (4.9%)
Common135 / 2,763 (4.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 31d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 8 / 175 | 1.9% | ~1 in 18 |
| Fandom | 286 / 5,896 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 135 / 2,763 | 31% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Alex English
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$21.50
Floor
$21.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Manute Bol
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$13.60
Floor
$16.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Fat Lever
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Golden State Warriors 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$7.19
Floor
$7.99
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Oklahoma City Thunder Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
New York Knicks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.35
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Portland Trail Blazers Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.75
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Memphis Grizzlies Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.26
Floor
$3.50
Mint 500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.014
Denver Nuggets Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.22
Mint 2,948
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Christian Braun
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.46
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.53%Wt 0.196
Denver Nuggets Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.45
Mint 2,948
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Zeke Nnaji
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.119
Reggie Jackson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.112
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.20%Wt 0.126
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.50%Wt 0.105
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.17%Wt 0.035
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.80%Wt 0.084