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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1269
Orlando Magic 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom
Pack price
$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $10.66 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $40.00
Typical Pull
$8.10
Grail premium $2.56 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $40.00
FMV coverage
100%
7 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
44
of 887 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19d ago5.0%unopened
Legendary1 / 10 (10%)
Rare8 / 175 (4.6%)
Fandom88 / 1,774 (5.0%)
Common35 / 702 (5.0%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 19d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 10 | 0.8% | — |
| Rare | 8 / 175 | 6.1% | — |
| Fandom | 88 / 1,774 | 67% | — |
| Common | 35 / 702 | 27% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 7 of 7 (100%)Derrick Rose
Run It Back: Legacies 2014-19
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$261
Floor
$290
Mint 75
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.023
Magic Johnson
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$29.00
Floor
$29.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.023
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$12.09
Floor
$11.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.023
Dale Ellis
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$8.17
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.023
Orlando Magic Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$8.10
Floor
$9.00
Mint 887
Hit 47.31%Wt 1
Orlando Magic Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$7.20
Floor
$8.00
Mint 887
Hit 47.31%Wt 1
Orlando Magic 3 Pointer
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.023
