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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1270
Dallas Mavericks 2024 Playoff Pack
Fandom3 slots
Pack price
$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.40 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $45.00
Typical Pull
$10.80
Grail premium $0.60 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $45.00
FMV coverage
100%
16 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
88
of 1,990 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 23d ago4.4%unopened
Legendary2 / 10 (20%)
Rare7 / 175 (4.0%)
Fandom176 / 3,980 (4.4%)
Common79 / 1,805 (4.4%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 23d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 2 / 10 | 0.8% | ~1 in 44 |
| Rare | 7 / 175 | 2.7% | ~1 in 13 |
| Fandom | 176 / 3,980 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 79 / 1,805 | 30% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 16 of 16 (100%)Kyrie Irving
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$126
Floor
$140
Mint 99
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
James Harden
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$98.10
Floor
$109
Mint 99
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Michael Cooper
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$10.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Byron Scott
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$7.77
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Kawhi Leonard
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$7.67
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.023
Dallas Mavericks Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,990
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Jaren Jackson Jr.
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Mikal Bridges
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.023
Dallas Mavericks Redemption
The Champion's Path 2024
FANDOM6
FMV
$3.60
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,990
Hit 33.33%Wt 1
Derrick Jones Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.92%Wt 0.148
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.14%Wt 0.034
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.92%Wt 0.148
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.68%Wt 0.17
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.023
Josh Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.25
Dante Exum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.125