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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1548
Run It Back: Origins
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$160
Actual EV
—
≈ $30.89 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $160 ask
Typical Pull
$21.00
Grail premium $9.89 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $160 ask
FMV coverage
100%
35 editions
Depletion
92%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
83
of 1,000 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago8.3%unopened
Legendary7 / 50 (14%)
8.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 1.7× launch rate
Rare184 / 2,200 (8.4%)
222 per 100 sealed packs · launch 220 · ≈ launch rate
Common58 / 750 (7.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 7 / 50 | 2.8% | ~1 in 12 |
| Rare | 184 / 2,200 | 74% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 58 / 750 | 23% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 35 of 35 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Dennis Rodman
Assist · Dec 26, 1997
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$270
Recent Low
$300
Mint 75
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Gilbert Arenas
3 Pointer · Jan 16, 2007
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$97.00
Recent Low
$95.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jamal Crawford
Handles · Nov 27, 2007
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$90.00
Recent Low
$100
Mint 75
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Cade Cunningham
Layup · Oct 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Bryant Reeves
Layup · Dec 16, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 7.63%Wt 0.076
DeMarcus Cousins
Handles · Mar 3, 2011
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.44%Wt 0.104
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$11.88
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Jason Kidd
Reel · Apr 11, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.04%Wt 0.1
Mike Miller
Layup · Feb 3, 2001
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.64%Wt 0.096
Evan Mobley
Layup · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Jalen Johnson
3 Pointer · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Eddie Jones
Dunk · Apr 16, 1995
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 11.24%Wt 0.112
LaMarcus Aldridge
Reel · Jan 11, 2019
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.62%Wt 0.056
Jabari Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Desmond Bane
3 Pointer · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.004
Rod Strickland
Layup · Feb 23, 1995
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.052
Mo Williams
3 Pointer · Jan 14, 2015
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.61%Wt 0.036
Dan Majerle
3 Pointer · Jun 1, 1993
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.052
Draymond Green
Reel · Feb 11, 2017
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.052
Andrew Nembhard
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$3.39
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Onyeka Okongwu
Dunk · Jan 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$2.97
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Immanuel Quickley
Jump Shot · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Leonard Miller
Layup · Nov 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.02
GG Jackson
3 Pointer · Dec 19, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.61%Wt 0.036