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RPC›NBA Top Shot

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NBA Top Shot

Dapper Labs · NBA

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🏀Top Shot 🏈All Day ✨Pinnacle ⚽Golazos 🥊Strike ⚾Candy

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Run It Back: Legacies August

NBA Top Shot · Pack #1566

Run It Back: Legacies August

Legendary2 slots

Buy on Top Shot Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $236/pack▼ 61% below the $600 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (71% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $600Typical pull ≈ $149 · grail premium $86.75 (lottery-shaped)

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$600] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Pack price

$699

Actual EV

$236

Net −$364 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (71% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $600

Typical Pull

$149

Grail premium $86.75 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

0.39x

-60.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (71% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $600

FMV coverage

100%

16 editions

Depletion

71%

pool · as of 63d ago

Packs remaining

29

of 100 minted · as of 63d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 63d ago

29%unopened

29 / 100 packs

Legendary58 / 200 (29%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 63d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	58 / 200	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Chris Mullin

LegendaryHit 29.31%

Run It Back: Legacies

Tim Hardaway

LegendaryHit 20.69%

Run It Back: Legacies

Scott Skiles

LegendaryHit 20.69%

Run It Back: Legacies

Kyle Kuzma

LegendaryHit 1.72%

Patty Mills

LegendaryHit 1.72%

What's Inside

FMV priced 16 of 16 (100%)

Chris Mullin

Run It Back: Legacies

Hit 29.31%Wt 0.586

Tim Hardaway

Run It Back: Legacies

Hit 20.69%Wt 0.414

Scott Skiles

Run It Back: Legacies

Hit 20.69%Wt 0.414

Kyle Kuzma

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Patty Mills

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanović

Hit 3.45%Wt 0.069

James Wiseman

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Jordan Poole

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

Hit 3.45%Wt 0.069

Zach LaVine

Hit 3.45%Wt 0.069

CJ McCollum

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Saddiq Bey

Hit 3.45%Wt 0.069

Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vučević

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Kyle Kuzma

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Desmond Bane

Hit 1.72%Wt 0.034

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

48

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

98

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$89.80

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$44.90

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 96% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Chris Mullin · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	29.31%	$216	53.8%
Tim Hardaway · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$126	22.1%
Scott Skiles · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$74.50	13.1%
Bogdan Bogdanović · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$63.00	1.8%
Jordan Clarkson · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$48.20

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $450 · 1y agoRetail $69927 sales

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 16

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chris Mullin	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	29.31%	$216	$127
Tim Hardaway	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$126	$52.14
Scott Skiles	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$74.50	$30.83
Bogdan Bogdanović	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$63.00	$4.34
Jordan Clarkson	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$48.20	$3.32
Zach LaVine	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$36.50	$2.52
Patty Mills	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	1.72%	$67.50	$2.33
Kyle Kuzma	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	1.72%	$67.50	$2.33
Saddiq Bey	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$32.75	$2.26
James Wiseman	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	1.72%	$62.10	$2.14

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/20/2026, 11:13:00 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.