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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1566

Run It Back: Legacies August

Name: Run It Back: Legacies August
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 699 USD

Legendary2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $105/pack▼ 82% below the $600 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 71% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $600 askTypical pull ≈ $102 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$600] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Chris Mullin · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	29.31%	$68.00	37.8%
Scott Skiles · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$51.00	20.0%
Tim Hardaway · Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	20.69%	$45.00	17.7%
Bogdan Bogdanović · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	3.45%	$63.00	4.1%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $450 · 1y agoRetail $60027 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$600

Actual EV

$105

Net −$495 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 71% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $600 ask

Typical Pull

$102

Grail premium $3.32 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.18x

-82.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 71% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $600 ask

FMV coverage

100%

16 editions

Depletion

71%

pool · as of 16h ago

Packs remaining

of 100 minted · as of 16h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 16h ago

29%unopened

29 / 100 packs

Legendary58 / 200 (29%)

200 per 100 sealed packs · launch 200 · ≈ launch rate

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 16h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	58 / 200	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chris Mullin	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	1.01%	$68.00	$1.37
Scott Skiles	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.71%	$51.00	$0.73
Tim Hardaway	Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.71%	$45.00	$0.64
Bogdan Bogdanović	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.12%	$63.00	$0.15
Jordan Clarkson	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.12%	$40.00	$0.10
Zach LaVine	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.12%	$39.60	$0.09
James Wiseman	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.06%	$69.00	$0.08
Saddiq Bey	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.12%	$34.00	$0.08
Kyle Kuzma	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.06%	$67.50	$0.08
Jordan Poole	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.06%	$53.10	$0.06

Run It Back: Legacies August

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV