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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1567
Run It Back: Origins August
Rare3 slots
Pack price
$29.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $26.82 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
Typical Pull
$24.00
Grail premium $2.82 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
FMV coverage
100%
10 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 43d ago
Packs remaining
45
of 1,000 minted · as of 43d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 43d ago4.5%unopened
Rare135 / 3,000 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 43d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 135 / 3,000 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 10 of 10 (100%)Russell Westbrook
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$18.59
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.37%Wt 0.311
Antoine Walker
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$12.11
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 12.59%Wt 0.378
Andre Drummond
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$12.10
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 7.41%Wt 0.222
Jerry Stackhouse
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$9.69
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.37%Wt 0.311
Al Horford
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.289
Dwight Howard
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.67
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.289
Shawn Bradley
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.55
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333
Donyell Marshall
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.23
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.267
Kendall Gill
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333
Chris Paul
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$3.80
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.267