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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1567
Run It Back: Origins August
Rare3 slots
Pack price
$29.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $25.23 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
Typical Pull
$19.80
Grail premium $5.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.99
FMV coverage
100%
10 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
45
of 1,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 12d ago4.5%unopened
Rare135 / 3,000 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 12d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 135 / 3,000 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 10 of 10 (100%)Russell Westbrook
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$17.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.37%Wt 0.311
Antoine Walker
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$11.40
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 12.59%Wt 0.378
Andre Drummond
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$10.40
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 7.41%Wt 0.222
Jerry Stackhouse
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 10.37%Wt 0.311
Chris Paul
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.267
Shawn Bradley
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.60
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333
Dwight Howard
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$6.43
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.289
Al Horford
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$5.95
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.289
Donyell Marshall
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$5.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.267
Kendall Gill
Run It Back
RARE6
FMV
$4.63
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333