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RPC›NBA Top Shot

🏀

NBA Top Shot

Dapper Labs · NBA

Flow

🏀Top Shot 🏈All Day ✨Pinnacle ⚽Golazos 🥊Strike 🃏Panini ⚾Candy

What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.

Run It Back: Origins August

NBA Top Shot · Pack #1567

Run It Back: Origins August

Rare3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$29.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$29.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $19.44 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $29.99 ask

Typical Pull

$18.00

Grail premium $1.44 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $29.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

10 editions

Depletion

96%

pool · as of 7h ago

Packs remaining

44

of 1,000 minted · as of 7h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 7h ago

4.4%unopened

44 / 1,000 packs

Rare132 / 3,000 (4.4%)

300 per 100 sealed packs · launch 300 · ≈ launch rate

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 7h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	132 / 3,000	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

Run It Back: Origins

Andre Drummond

Run It Back: Origins

Jerry Stackhouse

Jerry Stackhouse

Run It Back: Origins

Antoine Walker

Run It Back: Origins

Al Horford

Run It Back: Origins

What's Inside

FMV priced 10 of 10 (100%)

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

Dunk · Jan 19, 2009

Run It Back: Origins

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 9.85%Wt 0.098

Jerry Stackhouse

Jerry Stackhouse

Dunk · Feb 22, 1996

Run It Back: Origins

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 10.61%Wt 0.106

Andre Drummond

Block · Jan 26, 2013

Run It Back: Origins

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 7.58%Wt 0.076

Antoine Walker

Assist · Apr 18, 1997

Run It Back: Origins

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 12.12%Wt 0.121

Al Horford

Jump Shot · Apr 26, 2008

Run It Back: Origins

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 9.85%Wt 0.098

Shawn Bradley

Reel · Apr 7, 1998

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 11.36%Wt 0.114

Dwight Howard

Reel · Mar 21, 2018

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 9.85%Wt 0.098

Chris Paul

Reel · Dec 11, 2016

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083

Kendall Gill

Steal · Apr 4, 1999

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 11.36%Wt 0.114

Donyell Marshall

Donyell Marshall

Reel · Mar 14, 2005

RARESeries 2023-24

Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

743

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

2,229

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$68.26

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$22.75

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Russell Westbrook · Run It Back: Origins	RARE	9.85%	$13.00	19.8%
Jerry Stackhouse · Run It Back: Origins	RARE	10.61%	$8.00	13.1%
Antoine Walker · Run It Back: Origins	RARE	12.12%	$7.00	13.1%
Shawn Bradley · Run It Back	RARE	11.36%	$5.88	10.3%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $39.00 · 1y agoRetail $29.99944 sales

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 10

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Russell Westbrook	Run It Back: Origins	RARE	0.21%	$13.00	$0.08
Jerry Stackhouse	Run It Back: Origins	RARE	0.23%	$8.00	$0.06
Antoine Walker	Run It Back: Origins	RARE	0.26%	$7.00	$0.06
Shawn Bradley	Run It Back	RARE	0.25%	$5.88	$0.04
Andre Drummond	Run It Back: Origins	RARE	0.16%	$8.00	$0.04
Al Horford	Run It Back: Origins	RARE	0.21%	$6.00	$0.04
Dwight Howard	Run It Back	RARE	0.21%	$5.00	$0.03
Kendall Gill	Run It Back	RARE	0.25%	$4.00	$0.03
Chris Paul	Run It Back	RARE	0.18%	$5.00	$0.03
Donyell Marshall	Run It Back	RARE	0.20%	$3.00	$0.02

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 10:25 PM PT.