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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1576
San Antonio Spurs Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.10 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $800
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $800
FMV coverage
100%
17 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 34d ago
Packs remaining
45
of 1,076 minted · as of 34d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 34d ago4.2%unopened
Rare5 / 52 (9.6%)
Common85 / 2,100 (4.0%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 34d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 52 | 5.6% | ~1 in 9 |
| Common | 85 / 2,100 | 94% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 17 of 17 (100%)San Antonio Spurs
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$6.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.089
Keldon Johnson
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.05
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.022
Danny Green
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.067
Zach Collins
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.22%Wt 0.244
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.133
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.067
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.222
Boris Diaw
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.089
Doug McDermott
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.044
Cedi Osman
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.78%Wt 0.156
Blake Wesley
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.111
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.022
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 17.78%Wt 0.356
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.78%Wt 0.156
Malaki Branham
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.111
Jeremy Sochan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.067
Doug McDermott
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.044