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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1578

Indiana Pacers Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

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Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1,000,000] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 63% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
— · Squad Goals	RARE	6.90%	$6.00	55.5%
Obi Toppin · Throwdowns	RARE	1.72%	$4.00	9.2%
Tyrese Haliburton · Base Set	COMMON	17.24%	$0.31	7.2%
Pascal Siakam · Base Set	COMMON	18.97%	$0.25	6.4%
T.J. McConnell · Base Set	COMMON	12.07%	$0.30	4.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 2y agoRetail $2.003 sales

Pack price

$2.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.49 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

Typical Pull

$0.58

Grail premium $0.91 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

FMV coverage

100%

15 editions

Depletion

96%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 735 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 5d ago

3.8%unopened

28 / 735 packs

Rare5 / 49 (10%)

Common53 / 1,421 (3.7%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 5d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	5 / 49	8.6%	~1 in 6
Common	53 / 1,421	91%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 15

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Squad Goals	Squad Goals	RARE	6.90%	$6.00	$0.83
Obi Toppin	Throwdowns	RARE	1.72%	$4.00	$0.14
Tyrese Haliburton	Base Set	COMMON	17.24%	$0.31	$0.11
Pascal Siakam	Base Set	COMMON	18.97%	$0.25	$0.09
T.J. McConnell	Base Set	COMMON	12.07%	$0.30	$0.07
Myles Turner	Base Set	COMMON	6.90%	$0.30	$0.04
George Hill	Archive Set	COMMON	6.90%	$0.29	$0.04
Myles Turner	Base Set	COMMON	6.90%	$0.27	$0.04
Buddy Hield	Base Set	COMMON	5.17%	$0.31	$0.03
Isaiah Jackson	Base Set	COMMON	3.45%	$0.36	$0.02

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 8:13:00 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.