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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1581
Denver Nuggets Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.59 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.54
Grail premium $0.05 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
22 editions
Depletion
93%
live pool
Packs remaining
52
of 783 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 23h ago6.6%unopened
Rare0 / 25 (0.0%)
Common104 / 1,541 (6.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 0 / 25 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 104 / 1,541 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 22 of 22 (100%)Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.30
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Zeke Nnaji
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.39
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.019
Christian Braun
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.46
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.08%Wt 0.154
Carmelo Anthony
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.019
Kenneth Faried
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.32
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.27
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.058
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.27
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.019
Reggie Jackson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.077
Zeke Nnaji
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 22.22%Wt 0.423
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.07%Wt 0.135
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.058
Wilson Chandler
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 20.20%Wt 0.385
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 16,000
Hit 7.07%Wt 0.135
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.058
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Aaron Gordon
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 18,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.038
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.019