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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1581
Denver Nuggets Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.50 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.06 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00
FMV coverage
100%
22 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 32d ago
Packs remaining
52
of 783 minted · as of 32d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 32d ago6.6%unopened
Rare0 / 25 (0.0%)
Common104 / 1,541 (6.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 32d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 0 / 25 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 104 / 1,541 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 22 of 22 (100%)Carmelo Anthony
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.25
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.019
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Kenneth Faried
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 19.61%Wt 0.385
Wilson Chandler
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Aaron Gordon
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 18,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.058
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.058
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Zeke Nnaji
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.019
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.90%Wt 0.096
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.058
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.019
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.019
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 21.57%Wt 0.423
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.86%Wt 0.135
Aaron Gordon
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.86%Wt 0.135
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Reggie Jackson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.077
Jamal Murray
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.038
Christian Braun
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.84%Wt 0.154