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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1583

Utah Jazz Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

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Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1,000,000] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 77% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
— · Squad Goals	RARE	5.88%	$13.49	73.6%
Lauri Markkanen · Base Set	COMMON	20.59%	$0.28	5.3%
Talen Horton-Tucker · Base Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.30	3.3%
Joe Ingles · Archive Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.27	2.9%
Jordan Clarkson · Base Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.26	2.8%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 2y agoRetail $1,000,0006 sales

Pack price

$2.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 1,480 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 5h ago

1.1%unopened

17 / 1,480 packs

Rare2 / 80 (2.5%)

Common32 / 2,880 (1.1%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 5h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	2 / 80	5.9%	~1 in 9
Common	32 / 2,880	94%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Unknown	Squad Goals	RARE	5.88%	$13.49	$1.59
Lauri Markkanen	Base Set	COMMON	20.59%	$0.28	$0.12
Talen Horton-Tucker	Base Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.30	$0.07
Joe Ingles	Archive Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.27	$0.06
Jordan Clarkson	Base Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.26	$0.06
Talen Horton-Tucker	Base Set	COMMON	2.94%	$0.88	$0.05
Walker Kessler	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.33	$0.04
John Collins	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.31	$0.04
Kris Dunn	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.28	$0.03
Lauri Markkanen	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.26	$0.03

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.