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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1583

Utah Jazz Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

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Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1,000,000] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Utah Jazz · Squad Goals	RARE	5.88%	$8.86	69.8%
Joe Ingles · Archive Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.36	5.7%
Lauri Markkanen · Base Set	COMMON	20.59%	$0.19	5.2%
Jordan Clarkson · Base Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.26	4.1%
Talen Horton-Tucker · Base Set	COMMON	11.77%	$0.21	3.3%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 2y agoRetail $2.006 sales

Pack price

$2.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.49 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

Typical Pull

$0.44

Grail premium $1.05 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $1,000,000

FMV coverage

100%

13 editions

Depletion

99%

pool · as of 29d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,480 minted · as of 29d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 29d ago

1.1%unopened

17 / 1,480 packs

Rare2 / 80 (2.5%)

Common32 / 2,880 (1.1%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 29d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	2 / 80	5.9%	~1 in 9
Common	32 / 2,880	94%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 13

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Utah Jazz	Squad Goals	RARE	5.88%	$8.86	$1.04
Joe Ingles	Archive Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.36	$0.08
Lauri Markkanen	Base Set	COMMON	20.59%	$0.19	$0.08
Jordan Clarkson	Base Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.26	$0.06
Talen Horton-Tucker	Base Set	COMMON	11.76%	$0.21	$0.05
Lauri Markkanen	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.23	$0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker	Base Set	COMMON	2.94%	$0.45	$0.03
Collin Sexton	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.22	$0.03
Walker Kessler	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.21	$0.02
John Collins	Base Set	COMMON	5.88%	$0.20	$0.02

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/21/2026, 4:13:00 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.