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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1584
Chicago Bulls Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
Typical Pull
$0.70
Grail premium $0.63 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
FMV coverage
100%
16 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
21
of 770 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 14h ago2.7%unopened
Rare2 / 35 (5.7%)
Common40 / 1,505 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 14h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 35 | 4.8% | ~1 in 11 |
| Common | 40 / 1,505 | 95% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 16 of 16 (100%)Alex Caruso
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$5.29
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Nikola Vučević
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Joakim Noah
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.095
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.70
Mint 8,500
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.143
Patrick Williams
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.095
DeMar DeRozan
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,111
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.143
Nikola Vučević
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.33
Mint 60,000
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.143
Ayo Dosunmu
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.35
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.143
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 60,000
Hit 15.63%Wt 0.238
Patrick Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.34
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.048
Dalen Terry
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.38%Wt 0.143