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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1585

Charlotte Hornets Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

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Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$5.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
— · Squad Goals	RARE	3.57%	$4.15	35.3%
LaMelo Ball · Base Set	COMMON	28.57%	$0.26	17.7%
Miles Bridges · Base Set	COMMON	21.43%	$0.26	13.3%
LaMelo Ball · Base Set	COMMON	14.29%	$0.30	10.2%
Bryce McGowens · Base Set	COMMON	10.71%	$0.33	8.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 2y agoRetail $2.003 sales

Pack price

$2.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $0.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00

Typical Pull

$0.58

Grail premium $0.28 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00

FMV coverage

100%

9 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 631 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

2.2%unopened

14 / 631 packs

Rare1 / 25 (4.0%)

Common27 / 1,237 (2.2%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	1 / 25	3.6%	~1 in 14
Common	27 / 1,237	96%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 9 of 9 (100%)

Charlotte Hornets 3 Pointer

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 9 of 9

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Squad Goals	Squad Goals	RARE	3.57%	$4.15	$0.30
LaMelo Ball	Base Set	COMMON	28.57%	$0.26	$0.15
Miles Bridges	Base Set	COMMON	21.43%	$0.26	$0.11
LaMelo Ball	Base Set	COMMON	14.29%	$0.30	$0.09
Bryce McGowens	Base Set	COMMON	10.71%	$0.33	$0.07
Jeremy Lamb	Archive Set	COMMON	7.14%	$0.36	$0.05
Mark Williams	Base Set	COMMON	7.14%	$0.27	$0.04
LaMelo Ball	Base Set	COMMON	3.57%	$0.27	$0.02
Cody Martin	Base Set	COMMON	3.57%	$0.25	$0.02

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/6/2026, 1:13:00 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.