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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1586
Houston Rockets Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.78
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.17 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.78 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.77 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.78 ask
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 13h ago
Packs remaining
43
of 663 minted · as of 13h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 13h ago6.5%unopened
Rare6 / 47 (13%)
14 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.1 · 2.0× launch rate
Common80 / 1,279 (6.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 6 / 47 | 7.0% | ~1 in 7 |
| Common | 80 / 1,279 | 93% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Houston Rockets
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
Tari Eason
Dunk · Nov 18, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 699
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Jalen Green
Dunk · Nov 23, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.25
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Rodney McCray
Assist · May 14, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 5,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Alperen Şengün
Dunk · Nov 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.60
Mint 500
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 500
Hit 12.79%Wt 0.128
Jabari Smith Jr.
Block · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.98%Wt 0.07
Josh Smith
Reel · May 15, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
Tari Eason
Steal · Dec 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
Alperen Şengün
Dunk · Nov 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.035
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Nov 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 18.60%Wt 0.186
Jock Landale
Layup · Mar 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.14%Wt 0.081
Dillon Brooks
Dunk · Nov 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.81%Wt 0.058
Jae'Sean Tate
Hook Shot · Mar 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.81%Wt 0.058
Trevor Ariza
3 Pointer · May 17, 2018
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
Jalen Green
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Jae'Sean Tate
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Aaron Holiday
Layup · Nov 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.49%Wt 0.035
Jalen Green
Dunk · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.65%Wt 0.047
