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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1588

LA Lakers Pack (Summer 2024)

Name: LA Lakers Pack (Summer 2024)
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 2 USD

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.89/pack▼ 70% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 80% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 askTypical pull ≈ $0.48 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

257

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

514

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$15.64

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.12

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
LeBron James · Base Set	COMMON	15.24%	$0.86	29.4%
LeBron James · Base Set	COMMON	3.77%	$1.00	8.5%
Anthony Davis · Base Set	COMMON	15.56%	$0.24	8.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $3.00 (90d)Last $3.00 · 2mo agoRetail $3.00277 sales · 3 in 90d

trades ~1.00× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$3.00

Actual EV

$0.89

Net −$2.11 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 80% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Typical Pull

$0.48

Grail premium $0.41 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.30x

-70.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 80% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

FMV coverage

100%

36 editions

Depletion

80%

pool · as of 21m ago

Packs remaining

1,086

of 5,529 minted · as of 21m ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 21m ago

20%unopened

1,086 / 5,529 packs

Rare21 / 111 (19%)

1.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · ≈ launch rate

Common2,151 / 10,947 (20%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 21m ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	21 / 111	1.0%	~1 in 52
Common	2,151 / 10,947	99%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 36 of 36 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Buyer	Sale price	When
@faraway_elderberry6965	$3.00	68d ago
@BartiqueNBA	$3.00	70d ago
@Riff	$3.00	79d ago
@splendid_dalmatian5322	$3.00	147d ago
@adiju	$3.00	154d ago
@Jero41	$3.00	161d ago
0xbc7c…3d1c	$3.00	183d ago
@Jero41	$3.00	187d ago
@RichardLewis	$3.00	187d ago
@StatsonStats1057	$3.00	190d ago

LA Lakers Pack (Summer 2024)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV