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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1588
LA Lakers Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
$2.00
Actual EV
$1.13
Net −$2.87 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (80% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.54
Grail premium $0.59 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.28x
-71.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (80% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
80%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
1,093
of 5,529 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago20%unopened
Rare21 / 111 (19%)
Common2,157 / 10,947 (20%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 21 / 111 | 1.0% | ~1 in 52 |
| Common | 2,157 / 10,947 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$6.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Los Angeles Lakers
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.05%Wt 0.014
Spencer Dinwiddie
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.003
D'Angelo Russell
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$3.90
Floor
$2.50
Mint 699
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$3.84
Floor
$1.00
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$2.49
Floor
$0.85
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$1.75
Floor
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.76%Wt 0.075
LeBron James
Hustle and Show
COMMON4
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.50
Mint 18,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.029
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.50
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.83%Wt 0.024
Max Christie
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.37
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.73
Floor
$0.40
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.006
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.34
Mint 60,000
Hit 23.40%Wt 0.305
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.38%Wt 0.096
Kurt Rambis
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.20
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.004
D'Angelo Russell
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.71%Wt 0.061
Spencer Dinwiddie
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.01
Nick Young
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.39%Wt 0.083
Cam Reddish
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.94%Wt 0.103
Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.037
Rui Hachimura
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.71%Wt 0.061
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.14
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.019
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.01
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.04%Wt 0.079
Jaxson Hayes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 19.11%Wt 0.249