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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1595
Boston Celtics Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.95
Actual EV
$0.74
Net −$2.21 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.95
Typical Pull
$0.56
Grail premium $0.18 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.25x
-74.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.95
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
85%
live pool
Packs remaining
752
of 4,854 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 12h ago15%unopened
Rare13 / 93 (14%)
Common1,493 / 9,614 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 13 / 93 | 0.9% | ~1 in 58 |
| Common | 1,493 / 9,614 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Larry Bird
The Anthology: Larry Bird
RARE5
FMV
$37.60
Floor
$28.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Jaylen Brown
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$9.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Kristaps Porziņģis
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.80
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.003
Boston Celtics Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.012
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.89
Floor
$0.99
Mint 9,500
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.003
Danny Ainge
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.73
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.003
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.61
Floor
$0.35
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.007
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.013
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.52%Wt 0.101
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.23
Mint 15,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.004
Jae Crowder
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.18%Wt 0.096
Derrick White
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.30
Mint 11,111
Hit 0.43%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.58%Wt 0.133
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.021
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.032
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 9,999
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.005
Tyler Zeller
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.64%Wt 0.118
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 32.10%Wt 0.497
Derrick White
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.35%Wt 0.052
Derrick White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.24%Wt 0.128
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.83%Wt 0.044
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.94%Wt 0.015
Sam Hauser
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.13%Wt 0.157
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.24%Wt 0.081