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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1597

Miami Heat Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$100] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 35% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bam Adebayo · For the Win	RARE	3.57%	$6.30	32.5%
— · Squad Goals	RARE	3.57%	$6.00	31.0%
Bam Adebayo · Base Set	COMMON	17.86%	$0.26	6.7%
Bam Adebayo · Base Set	COMMON	10.71%	$0.28	4.3%
Tyler Herro · Base Set	COMMON	7.14%	$0.30	3.1%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 1y agoRetail $1001 sale

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$100

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.52 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $100

Typical Pull

$0.56

Grail premium $0.96 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $100

FMV coverage

100%

18 editions

Depletion

97%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 429 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 5h ago

3.3%unopened

14 / 429 packs

Rare2 / 26 (7.7%)

Common26 / 832 (3.1%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 5h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	2 / 26	7.1%	~1 in 7
Common	26 / 832	93%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 18 of 18 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 18

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Bam Adebayo	For the Win	RARE	0.51%	$6.30	$0.06
Squad Goals	Squad Goals	RARE	0.51%	$6.00	$0.06
Bam Adebayo	Base Set	COMMON	2.55%	$0.26	$0.01
Bam Adebayo	Base Set	COMMON	1.53%	$0.28	$0.01
Tyler Herro	Base Set	COMMON	1.02%	$0.30	$0.01
Caleb Martin	Base Set	COMMON	1.02%	$0.28	$0.01
Kyle Lowry	Base Set	COMMON	1.02%	$0.26	$0.01
Josh Richardson	Base Set	COMMON	1.02%	$0.21	<$0.01
James Johnson	Archive Set	COMMON	0.51%	$0.35	<$0.01
Chris Andersen	Archive Set	COMMON	0.51%	$0.31	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 11:25:23 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.