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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1598

Washington Wizards Pack (Summer 2024)

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$19.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Kyle Kuzma · Base Set	COMMON	12.50%	$0.70	24.9%
Tyus Jones · Base Set	COMMON	25.00%	$0.26	18.5%
Corey Kispert · Base Set	COMMON	12.50%	$0.30	10.7%
Kyle Kuzma · Base Set	COMMON	12.50%	$0.28	10.0%
Johnny Davis · Base Set	COMMON	6.25%	$0.42	7.5%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$19.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $0.71 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00

Typical Pull

$0.60

Grail premium $0.11 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00

FMV coverage

100%

10 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 527 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 14h ago

1.5%unopened

8 / 527 packs

Rare0 / 53 (0.0%)

Common16 / 1,001 (1.6%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 14h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Rare	0 / 53	0.0%	depleted
Common	16 / 1,001	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 10 of 10 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 10

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kyle Kuzma	Base Set	COMMON	3.13%	$0.70	$0.04
Tyus Jones	Base Set	COMMON	6.25%	$0.26	$0.03
Corey Kispert	Base Set	COMMON	3.13%	$0.30	$0.02
Kyle Kuzma	Base Set	COMMON	3.13%	$0.28	$0.02
Johnny Davis	Base Set	COMMON	1.56%	$0.42	$0.01
Landry Shamet	Base Set	COMMON	1.56%	$0.36	$0.01
Kyle Kuzma	Fresh Threads	COMMON	1.56%	$0.36	$0.01
Jared Butler	Base Set	COMMON	1.56%	$0.31	$0.01
Deni Avdija	Base Set	COMMON	1.56%	$0.30	$0.01
Kyle Kuzma	Base Set	COMMON	1.56%	$0.27	$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 2:55:35 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.