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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1599
New Orleans Pelicans Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.81 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.54
Grail premium $0.27 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
17 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
19
of 624 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 5h ago3.0%unopened
Rare1 / 42 (2.4%)
Common37 / 1,206 (3.1%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1 / 42 | 2.6% | ~1 in 19 |
| Common | 37 / 1,206 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 17 of 17 (100%)Larry Nance Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Alexis Ajinça
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.71%Wt 0.105
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.28
Mint 13,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Dyson Daniels
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.71%Wt 0.105
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 11.43%Wt 0.211
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 28.57%Wt 0.526
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Brandon Ingram
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.71%Wt 0.105
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 8.57%Wt 0.158
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.71%Wt 0.105
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.10
Mint 12,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.053