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NBA Top Shot · Pack #1600
Dallas Mavericks Pack (Summer 2024)
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.00
Actual EV
$0.64
Net −$3.36 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (81% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.56
Grail premium $0.08 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.16x
-84.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (81% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
81%
live pool
Packs remaining
311
of 1,607 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 3h ago19%unopened
Rare4 / 23 (17%)
Common618 / 3,191 (19%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 3h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 23 | 0.6% | ~1 in 78 |
| Common | 618 / 3,191 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Jaden Hardy
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$5.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.003
Dallas Mavericks Rim
Squad Goals
RARE6
FMV
$4.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.01
Derek Harper
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.99
Floor
$1.10
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.01
Jaden Hardy
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.33
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.026
Dwight Powell
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.055
Devin Harris
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.62%Wt 0.051
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.013
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.93%Wt 0.077
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.67%Wt 0.17
Derrick Jones Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.09%Wt 0.08
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.026
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,000
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.023
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.91%Wt 0.096
Maxi Kleber
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.048
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,500
Hit 18.17%Wt 0.357
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 8.18%Wt 0.161
Jaden Hardy
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.33%Wt 0.183
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 9.00%Wt 0.177
Josh Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.40%Wt 0.106
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.023
Maxi Kleber
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.016
Dante Exum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.91%Wt 0.096
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.58%Wt 0.09
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.21
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.019